Market rates exceed SICETAC: the premium is 20% or more on 49% of the routes

This article records a finding published on 26 September 2026, using data from January–July 2026. The infographic and linked newsletter are in Spanish.

Over the past week, I have been talking with some of the 400 people who use my SICETAC al Instante application. First, I am delighted to hear how they use it and what they have to say about this project. THANK YOU!

In these conversations, knowing the market rate, or valor en plaza, is a priority for almost everyone. I have therefore set out to begin our most detailed research to date into its dynamics, behavior and trends. I am putting the AI skills I have learned over these months to work, with a group of agents looking for patterns.

Here is an initial finding: on 49% of the routes, the difference relative to SICETAC with 4 logistics hours is 20% or more.

ATIEMPPO infographic, in Spanish: average premium with 4 logistics hours. 49.1% of routes, or 224 of 456 routes for the 3S3 configuration, have an average premium of at least 20% over SICETAC, January–July 2026. Distribution: below -10%, 0 routes; -10% to 0%, 25 routes (5.5%); 0% to 10%, 149 routes (32.7%); 10% to 20%, 58 routes (12.7%); 20% to 40%, 98 routes (21.5%); 40% or more, 126 routes (27.6%). — Estimated market rate relative to SICETAC · 3S3 configuration · 4 logistics hours · January–July 2026 average · 456 routes. Infographic in Spanish.

We spend a great deal of time discussing overregulation, yet these market rates are well above the reference.

How to read this finding

The comparison. Each route’s estimated market rate against its SICETAC cost calculated with 4 logistics hours. The difference is the average premium.
The scope. 456 routes for the 3S3 configuration, using the January–July 2026 average.
The result. 224 of 456 routes (49.1%) have an average premium of at least 20%.
Distribution by average-premium band:
- Below -10%: 0 routes (0.0%).
- -10% to 0%: 25 routes (5.5%).
- 0% to 10%: 149 routes (32.7%).
- 10% to 20%: 58 routes (12.7%).
- 20% to 40%: 98 routes (21.5%).
- 40% or more: 126 routes (27.6%).

Three points to keep the interpretation within its limits:

The time assumption matters. Moving from 8 hours to 4 lowers the calculated SICETAC cost and raises the premium, even if the market rate stays the same.
These are averages by route. They do not represent every trip on each route.
A high premium does not equal a profit margin.

Percentages are rounded to one decimal place.

What comes next

At publication, we planned to begin reporting our progress in El Dato Logístico on Tuesday, 29 September. The complete data, including the full report on routes for the 3S3 configuration, would be available there. You can subscribe for free; the publication is in Spanish.

Subscribe to El Dato Logístico for free →

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